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Getting Ready for Earnings with Alpharepo

Hyperscaler earnings, prepped with one template. Every model gets the same preview at the same time, and capex, the line moving at all five, rolls up into one sheet.

RMRushil MurikinatiFounder, AlpharepoSeptember 10, 20266 min read

Covered in this post

ORCLSep 10MUSep 30TXNOct 19GOOGLOct 20METAOct 28NOWOct 28MSFTOct 29AMZNOct 30AMDNov 3QCOMNov 4PANWNov 13INTUNov 19NVDANov 25WDAYNov 27CRMDec 2ADBEDec 10AVGODec 10

Every quarter, every name in your coverage needs an earnings preview: your estimate against consensus on each line (and against guidance, where the company gives it), the gap in dollars and percent, your growth against consensus growth. At one model, that is manageable. At 150, with the segment-level detail where divergences and revisions actually show up, the preview becomes the job, and it resets every quarter. Alpharepo makes it something you set up once. This quarter we ran it on the five hyperscalers, and everything below is the product's own output.

Oracle reports on September 10, Alphabet on October 20, Meta on October 28, Microsoft on October 29 and Amazon on October 30. The same four numbers move all five: cloud growth, capex, operating income, and what management says about next quarter.

Oracle
ORCL · Q1 FY27
ReportsSep 10
Revenue (consensus)$19.06B
EPS (consensus)$1.74
Internal vs consensus, EPS1.4%
internal below consensus on EPS
Micron Technology
MU · Q4 FY26
ReportsSep 30
Revenue (consensus)$50.52B
Internal vs consensus, Revenue+1.0%
internal above consensus on Revenue
Texas Instruments Incorporated
TXN · Q3 FY26
ReportsOct 19
Revenue (consensus)$5.89B
EPS (consensus)$2.38
Internal vs consensus, EPS0.7%
internal below consensus on EPS
Alphabet
GOOGL · Q3 FY26
ReportsOct 20
Revenue (consensus)$127.34B
EPS (consensus)$3.41
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.9%
internal above consensus on EPS
Meta
META · Q3 FY26
ReportsOct 28
Revenue (consensus)$63.33B
EPS (consensus)$8.93
Internal vs consensus, EPS0.6%
internal below consensus on EPS
ServiceNow
NOW · Q3 FY26
ReportsOct 28
Revenue (consensus)$4.10B
EPS (consensus)$1.03
Internal vs consensus, EPS+1.1%
internal above consensus on EPS
Microsoft
MSFT · Q1 FY27
ReportsOct 29
Revenue (consensus)$90.66B
EPS (consensus)$4.73
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.1%
internal above consensus on EPS
Amazon
AMZN · Q3 FY26
ReportsOct 30
Revenue (consensus)$202.23B
EPS (consensus)$2.36
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.6%
internal above consensus on EPS
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD · Q3 FY26
ReportsNov 3
Revenue (consensus)$13.08B
EPS (consensus)$1.94
Internal vs consensus, EPS0.8%
internal below consensus on EPS
QUALCOMM Incorporated
QCOM · Q4 FY26
ReportsNov 4
Revenue (consensus)$10.17B
EPS (consensus)$2.17
Internal vs consensus, EPS1.2%
internal below consensus on EPS
Palo Alto Networks
PANW · Q1 FY27
ReportsNov 13
Revenue (consensus)$3.31B
EPS (consensus)$0.97
Internal vs consensus, EPS0.7%
internal below consensus on EPS
Intuit
INTU · Q1 FY27
ReportsNov 19
Revenue (consensus)$4.31B
EPS (consensus)$2.47
Internal vs consensus, EPS+1.4%
internal above consensus on EPS
NVIDIA
NVDA · Q3 FY27
ReportsNov 25
Revenue (consensus)$109.26B
EPS (consensus)$2.47
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.2%
internal above consensus on EPS
Workday
WDAY · Q3 FY27
ReportsNov 27
Revenue (consensus)$2.69B
EPS (consensus)$2.73
Internal vs consensus, EPS0.5%
internal below consensus on EPS
Salesforce
CRM · Q3 FY27
ReportsDec 2
Revenue (consensus)$11.47B
EPS (consensus)$3.44
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.1%
internal above consensus on EPS
Adobe
ADBE · Q4 FY26
ReportsDec 10
Revenue (consensus)$6.83B
EPS (consensus)$6.33
Internal vs consensus, EPS1.2%
internal below consensus on EPS
Broadcom
AVGO · Q4 FY26
ReportsDec 10
Revenue (consensus)$34.87B
EPS (consensus)$3.84
Internal vs consensus, EPS+0.8%
internal above consensus on EPS
The five prints, in the order they land. Revenue is the consensus number for the upcoming quarter. The internal stance is stated on EPS, and the internal vs consensus delta beside it is on that same line.

Build it once, run it everywhere

A preview has the same shape for every company: the lines that matter, and under each one the same comparisons against the same sources. You define that shape once and apply it to every model at the same time. Standard lines (total revenue, operating income, diluted EPS, capex, free cash flow) map to consensus automatically, and company-specific ones slot in underneath: Net sales - AWS and the retail segments for Amazon, Revenue - Azure and other cloud services for Microsoft, Google cloud revenue for Alphabet, ad impressions and price per impression for Meta. Five models here. At 150, it is the same step.

MSFT · Earnings preview · Q1 FY272027 Q1internal above consensus on EPSreports 2026-10-29
Metric
Internal (illustrative)
Consensus
PointLatestFieldComputedAmbiguousEmptyConsensus as of 2026-09-13 · internal column illustrative
Same template, two models. Microsoft, Q1 FY27 (reports October 29): rows nest the platform's analyses under each metric, the internal column against consensus. Dots mark provenance the way they do in the app.
AMZN · Earnings preview · Q3 FY262026 Q3internal above consensus on EPSreports 2026-10-30
Metric
Internal (illustrative)
Consensus
PointLatestFieldComputedAmbiguousEmptyConsensus as of 2026-09-10 · internal column illustrative
Same template, two models. Amazon, Q3 FY26 (reports October 30): AWS and the retail segments sit under the same analyses as the standardized lines. Nothing was set up twice.

Microsoft is the cleanest read of the season. Consensus has revenue at $90.66B (+16.7% YoY, a 34-broker mean) and Azure at $33.96B, still growing 45% off a much bigger base; the internal estimate sits 1.4% above consensus on revenue and in line on Azure. Amazon's headline is not where the disagreement is. The internal estimate sits on the consensus $202.23B (47 brokers) and 1.1% above it on AWS, where consensus has $45.26B, up 37% year over year.

Every number carries its broker count. When a segment line has only 16 contributors, Microsoft's Intelligent Cloud operating income for instance, you want to know that before you treat the mean as the market's view.

The internal stance per name is deliberate and stated: above consensus on Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon, below it on Meta and Oracle. The internal column is Alpharepo's illustrative model, generated from consensus with that stance, and its header says so. It exists to show the workflow, not as a recommendation. Consensus, actuals, revision history and broker counts come from the consensus feed as pulled. Guidance and alternative data are left out of this post rather than shown as generated numbers.

The group on one sheet

Previews are per company. The questions that matter this season are not. Where does our capex sit against consensus, name by name? How much of it is net new versus last year, and versus last quarter? That is a sector sheet: one row per company, internal and consensus side by side, built from the same models as the previews.

Hyperscalers · one sheet, upcoming quarteras of 2026-09-10Consensus
CompanyPrintRevenueCapex
ReportsConsensusInternal vs consensusInternalConsensusInternal vs consensusNet new YoYNet new QoQConsensus since Apr
ORCLSep 10Q1 FY27$19.06B+0.3%$19.19B$19.39B1.0%+$10.89B+$2.90B+35.3%23 brokers
MUSep 30Q4 FY26$50.52B+1.0%$10.05B$10.00B+0.5%+$4.34B+$2.18B+23.1%19 brokers
TXNOct 19Q3 FY26$5.89B0.4%$744.4M$745.3M0.1%−$451.7M+$231.3M+32.1%15 brokers
GOOGLOct 20Q3 FY26$127.34B+0.9%$56.65B$55.97B+1.2%+$32.02B+$11.05B+17.0%34 brokers
METAOct 28Q3 FY26$63.33B0.5%$41.52B$41.50B+0.1%+$22.67B+$11.38B+28.5%30 brokers
NOWOct 28Q3 FY26$4.10B0.0%$211.0M$211.0M0.0%−$24.0M+$97.0M16.7%32 brokers
MSFTOct 29Q1 FY27$90.66B+1.4%$46.14B$46.15B0.0%+$26.75B+$10.35B+63.0%29 brokers
AMZNOct 30Q3 FY26$202.23B0.0%$58.13B$57.90B+0.4%+$22.81B+$3.69B+12.5%20 brokers
AMDNov 3Q3 FY26$13.08B1.1%$630.4M$637.4M1.1%+$379.4M−$170.6M+169.1%22 brokers
QCOMNov 4Q4 FY26$10.17B0.8%$440.7M$444.1M0.8%+$37.1M−$51.9M+1.9%17 brokers
PANWNov 13Q1 FY27$3.31B0.9%$85.0M$85.7M0.8%+$1.7M−$17.3M+31.5%30 brokers
INTUNov 19Q1 FY27$4.31B0.1%$55.7M$55.3M+0.7%+$17.3M−$17.7M+5.6%18 brokers
NVDANov 25Q3 FY27$109.26B+1.0%$2.67B$2.65B+0.7%+$1.02B−$22.7M+28.7%25 brokers
WDAYNov 27Q3 FY27$2.69B+0.4%$63.6M$64.1M0.8%+$26.1M+$4.1M4.7%28 brokers
CRMDec 2Q3 FY27$11.47B+0.9%$176.6M$175.8M+0.5%+$36.8M+$4.8M1.9%32 brokers
ADBEDec 10Q4 FY26$6.83B0.9%$66.0M$66.0M+0.1%+$32.0M−$19.0M+23.6%17 brokers
AVGODec 10Q4 FY26$34.87B+0.7%$848.2M$845.6M+0.3%+$608.6M+$313.6M+180.5%23 brokers
Group capex, consensus: $236.9B · internal: $237.7BNet new vs a year ago: $121.2B · vs last quarter: $41.9BFiscal quarters as reported, not calendarized. Internal figures illustrative.
One row per company: internal and consensus on revenue and capex, the dollars of capex that are new versus a year ago and versus last quarter, and how far the consensus capex number has moved since April. The group totals in the footer are the sheet's own output, not a figure typed into this caption.

The footer is the number you only see with the whole group on one page: what the five are expected to spend this quarter, and how much of it is new money against a year ago. Three things to read carefully. The quarters are fiscal, as reported: Oracle's ends in August, the other four end in September, and the sheet does not calendarize them. "Cloud" is not one thing across these five (Azure, AWS and Google Cloud are segments; Microsoft's cloud operating income is the broader Intelligent Cloud line), so the sheet does not roll it up. And the column a PM asks for next, where the internal estimate has stood against consensus going into the last four prints, needs internal estimate history that this run does not carry yet. It is the next column.

Watch the revisions, not just the level

A consensus number on the day before the print tells you where the bar is. The revision history tells you which way the bar has been moving and how fast, and that is what the stock reacts to. Since April, Alphabet's Google Cloud consensus for Q3 has been revised up 29%, AWS up 9.6%, Meta's capex up 28.5% and Oracle's capex up 35%. Microsoft's revenue consensus, by contrast, has barely moved (+1.5%) while its capex consensus for the quarter has been revised up 63% over the same window, to $46.15B, 138% above a year ago.

GOOGL · Cloud Revenue ($B) · Q3 FY26 consensus, weekly
Consensus (weekly) Internal (today)consensus since 04-10: +29.0%internal vs consensus today: +0.7%43 brokers
Google Cloud, Q3 FY26 consensus, weekly since April (43 brokers). The internal number is plotted where it exists: today.

The chart is the platform's series chart over weekly consensus snapshots. The step line is consensus; the dot is where the internal estimate sits as of this run. Switch metrics to see the same picture for revenue, capex and EPS.

MSFT · Total Revenue ($B) · Q1 FY27 consensus, weekly
Consensus (weekly) Internal (today)consensus since 04-13: +1.5%internal vs consensus today: +1.4%34 brokers
Microsoft, Q1 FY27: revenue, Azure, capex and EPS consensus since April. Capex is the line that has moved.

What it took

One template, five models, applied in one step. Consensus and its revision history came with it, and the sector sheet came from the same models. After the print, you rerun it. The time went into reading the numbers, not assembling them. Every cell traces to a consensus line-item id and a broker count, and every grid on this page is the component the product renders, not a screenshot of one.

Consensus, actuals, revision history and broker counts: sell-side consensus, pulled September 10, 2026. Internal column: Alpharepo's illustrative model, generated from consensus with a stated stance per company, and labelled as such in every grid. Guidance and alternative data are not shown. Nothing here is investment advice.

If your earnings prep still starts with a blank sheet and a VLOOKUP, book ten minutes and we will run your coverage through this before the next print.